Minggu, 29 Mei 2011

[N521.Ebook] Ebook Free The Science of Conjecture, by James Franklin

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The Science of Conjecture, by James Franklin

How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates.

The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.

  • Sales Rank: #1020241 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2015-07-09
  • Released on: 2015-07-09
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Review

A remarkable book. Mr. Franklin writes clearly and exhibits a wry wit. But he also ranges knowledgeably across many disciplines and over many centuries.

(Wall Street Journal)

The Science of Conjecture opens an old chest of human attempts to draw order from havoc and wipes clean the rust from some cast-off classical tools that can now be reused to help build a framework for the unpredictable future.

(Science)

Franklin's style is clear and fluent, with an occasional sly Gibbonian aside to make the reader chuckle.

(New Criterion)

An admirably accessible study written in a crisp prose. It presents the reader with anarching historical perspective throughout many a century of human action.

(Giora Hon Centaurus)

Franklin gives a magisterial account of matters as diverse as the Talmud, Justinian's Digest, torture, witch hunts, Tudor treason trials, ancient and medieval astronomy and physics, humanist historiography, scholastic philosophy, speculations in public debt, and 17th century mathematics. His treatment of medieval law is among the best I have ever read.

(International Journal of Evidence and Proof)

Franklin's book is magnificent... Think of [it] as a non-fiction equivalent of Tolstoy's War and Peace.

(Peter Tillers The Jurist)

The Science of Conjecture is a masterly work, beautifully written, and based on encyclopaedic research... It is simply a tour de force that is unlikely to be surpassed for many a year.

(Barry Miller The Thomist)

Statistics teachers who like to sprinkle a little history and philosophy into their classes will find much here to delight and challenge them... This is a serious and scholarly work that I expect often will inform my teaching.

(Richard J. Cleary Journal of the American Statistical Association)

[This book has given me] sheer enjoyment in its density of strange information, in the wit and clarity if its writing, and in the vigour of its argumentation. I recommend it unreservedly to all interested in its subject.

(Oliver Mayo Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statistics)

This is the intellectual book of the year, and it ought to become one of the great classics of intellectual history.

(Scott Campbell Interdisciplinary Science Reviews)

The strength of The Science of Conjecture lies in its panoramic exposition of developments across the centuries and across intellectual disciplines and human endeavors. It is, as one reviewer wrote, 'a magesterial account of matters as diverse as the Talmud, Justinian's Digest, torture, witch hunts, Tudor treason trials, ancient and medieval astronomy and physics, humanist histriography, scholastic philosophy, speculations in public debt, and 17th century mathematics.'

(D. H. Kaye Law and History Review)

A remarkable book. Mr. Franklin writes clearly and exhibits a wry wit. But he also ranges knowledgeably across many disciplines and over many centuries. There are several reasons to read this book, but perhaps the best reason is its contemporary relevance. The lessons he discusses have pertinence to an age like ours, which has witnessed a gradual waning of faith in the objectivity of the relation of uncertain evidence to conclusion.

(Wall Street Journal)

The Science of Conjecture is an extraordinary work, a clearly written history of the ideas of evidence and of uncertainty before Pascal. Franklin has mastered a vast literature over thousands of years, bringing it together in scholarly fashion, fully annotated.

(Stephen Stigler, University of Chicago, author of The History of Statistics: The Measurement of Uncertainty before 1900)

In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin shows us how deeply and subtly jurists and philosophers from ancient Greece onwards have explored how we can deal rationally with real-life cases (law cases, for instance, or scientific experiments) where the link between cause and effect is not obvious.

(J.M. Coetzee The Australian)

Since many in the nominalist/empiricist/positivist tradition deny that we can know natures, this book has a place in teacher education as well as legal education for the challenges it poses the reader on how we know, and how well we know, through induction, perception and abstraction.

(Metascience)

The text has an even wider importance in that it signals the need for more, not less, study of the history, philosophy and social studies in science to occupy a greater space in undergraduate degrees so that an educated electorate is better able to evaluate what the STEM community tells us is good for the progress of society.

(Metascience)

From the Back Cover

How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates.

The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.

"A remarkable book. Mr. Franklin writes clearly and exhibits a wry wit. But he also ranges knowledgeably across many disciplines and over many centuries."― Wall Street Journal

" The Science of Conjecture opens an old chest of human attempts to draw order from havoc and wipes clean the rust from some cast-off classical tools that can now be reused to help build a framework for the unpredictable future."― Science

"Franklin's style is clear and fluent, with an occasional sly Gibbonian aside to make the reader chuckle."― New Criterion

James Franklin is a professor in the School of Mathematics and Statistics at the University of New South Wales.

About the Author

James Franklin is a professor in the School of Mathematics and Statistics at the University of New South Wales.

Most helpful customer reviews

29 of 29 people found the following review helpful.
Stands above, way above other books on the history and philosophy of probability.
By N N Taleb
As a practitioner of probability, I've had to read many books on the subject. Most are linear combinations of other books and ideas rehashed without real understanding that the idea of probability harks back to the Greek pisteuo (credibility) [and pithanon that led to probabile in latin] and pervaded classical thought. Almost all of these writers made the mistake to think that the ancients were not into probability. And most books such as "Against the Gods" are not even wrong about the notion of probability: odds on coin flips are a mere footnote. Same with current experiments with psychology of probability. If the ancients were not into computable probabilities, it was not because of theology, but because they were not into highly standardized games. They dealt with complex decisions, not merely simplified and purified probability. And they were very sophisticated at it.

The author is both a mathematician and a philosopher, not a philosopher who took a calculus class hence has a shallow idea of combinatorics and feels dominated by the subject, something that plagues the subject of the philosophy of probability.

This book stands above, way above the rest: I've never seen a deeper exposition of the subject, as this text covers, in addition to the mathematical bases, the true philosophical origin of the notion of probability. Finally, Franklin covers matters related to ethics and contract law, such as the works of the medieval thinker Pierre de Jean Olivi, that very few people discuss today.

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Sabtu, 28 Mei 2011

[I498.Ebook] Free Ebook Production Planning and Control (SAP PP) with SAP ERP (2nd Edition) (SAP PRESS), by Jawad Akhtar

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Production Planning and Control (SAP PP) with SAP ERP (2nd Edition) (SAP PRESS), by Jawad Akhtar

Step up your SAP PP game! Learn how to configure SAP ERP Production Planning for discrete, process, and repetitive manufacturing and master BOM status definitions, process message characteristics, and master data. Dive into SAP PP workflows and use Process Management, release production orders, and create planning tables. Covering everything from S&OP and MRP to SAP Demand Management and the Early Warning System, this book will help you get your production process to maximum efficiency!


*Master SAP ERP Production Planning for discrete, process, and repetitive manufacturing
*Streamline your SAP PP processes using tools like S&OP
*Configure master data, manufacturing profiles, work centers, and more

Configuration
Get step-by-step instructions for configuring SAP PP, from master data shared by all manufacturing types to specific settings and control keys for discrete, process, and repetitive manufacturing.

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Learn to use sales and operations planning, material requirements planning, SAP Demand Management, and long-term planning throughout your production workflow.

Reporting and Optimization
Get more out of your production system with capacity requirements planning, co-products, by-products, and more. Then evaluate and monitor your system using built-in reports and the Early Warning System.

*Discrete, process, and repetitive manufacturing
*Configuration
*Sales and operations planning (S&OP)
*Material requirements planning (MRP)
*SAP Demand Management
*Long-term planning (LTP)
*Special procurement types
*Capacity requirements planning (CRP)
*Digital signatures
*Early Warning System (EWS)

  • Sales Rank: #333426 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-07-30
  • Original language: English
  • Dimensions: 9.30" h x 1.70" w x 7.20" l,
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 940 pages

About the Author
Jawad Akhtar is the SAP leader for business sales and delivery at IBM Pakistan. He earned a chemical engineering degree from the Missouri University of Science and Technology (USA) in 1996. He has more than 18 years of professional experience and has completed several large-scale SAP implementations and rollout lifecycles. He has led large teams in his roles as an SAP integration manager and SAP project manager, and has also been actively involved in business development and solution architect roles.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Great book with in depth explanation
By Amazon Customer
The auther provides in depth details to the system functionality accompnaied with the needed t-codes to work out this functions.
As a plant planner it helps me so far a lot to understand how to utlize the system in term of Master Data And Processing Orders as well SAP Material planning forecast based.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent book that covers all types of production planning..
By satish
I loved Jawad's work and the effort he poured into making this book a real piece of art. It not only dives into the business processes in each type of production planning but it also covers key configuration details within each type. A must read for all levels of super-users and consultants!! Keep up the good work, Jawad..

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Good Book in which SCM Process is well define
By RAJIV KUMAR PANDEY
Need more information & worksteps to define Process Chain Jobs & set Job run in Background schedule run. Also Need information on advance Micro.

Other section is very good and is very useful books for all level of SCM Consultant.

See all 6 customer reviews...

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Kamis, 12 Mei 2011

[Q327.Ebook] Free PDF Nimrod's Genesis: RAF Maritime Patrol Projects and Weapons Since 1945 (Hikoki), by Chris Gibson

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Nimrod's Genesis: RAF Maritime Patrol Projects and Weapons Since 1945 (Hikoki), by Chris Gibson

To counter the threat from a Soviet "blue water" navy, a large investment was made in the years from 1945 until the 1960s to develop maritime patrol aircraft. For years the Air Staff and the ministries argued over what type should replace the Shackleton, including variants of the Vulcan, the Britannia, VC10 and Trident, before one man strode into the MoD building in 1964, settling the argument with what became Nimrod.

To seek and destroy Soviet submarines, Shackletons and Nimrods carried many advanced weapons and sensors, but also played a role in saving lives at sea. Then, after forty years' service, the Nimrods were withdrawn without replacement after one of the most expensive procurement disasters.

Chris Gibson examines the post-war genesis of the RAF's maritime patrol aircraft, a process that led to Nimrod. From the last flying boats, attempts to improve then replace the Shackleton and ultimately the Nimrod itself, Gibson provides a fascinating insight into the aircraft, weapons and sensors developed to counter the Soviet submarine threat.

  • Sales Rank: #1531109 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-04-17
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 12.00" h x .88" w x 8.50" l, .84 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 224 pages

Review
"It’s not often you get a history of an aircraft chock full of all its competitors, let alone all the political machinations that went into making decisions that would impact a program’s capability. Chris Gibson was able to weave in a tremendous amount of data and still manage to provide a compelling story." (Frank Landrus IPMS/USA 2015-06-15)

From the Back Cover
To counter the threat from a Soviet "blue water" navy, a large investment was made in the years from 1945 until the 1960s to develop maritime patrol aircraft. For years the Air Staff and the ministries argued over what type should replace the Shackleton, including variants of the Vulcan, the Britannia, VC10 and Trident, before one man strode into the MoD building in 1964, settling the argument with what became Nimrod.

To seek and destroy Soviet submarines, Shackletons and Nimrods carried many advanced weapons and sensors, but also played a role in saving lives at sea. Then, after forty years' service, the Nimrods were withdrawn without replacement after one of the most expensive procurement disasters.

Chris Gibson examines the post-war genesis of the RAF's maritime patrol aircraft, a process that led to Nimrod. From the last flying boats, attempts to improve then replace the Shackleton and ultimately the Nimrod itself, Gibson provides a fascinating insight into the aircraft, weapons and sensors developed to counter the Soviet submarine threat.

About the Author
In 1978 his interest in aircraft took Chris Gibson into the Royal Observer Corps where he represented his group, area and country in aircraft recognition competitions between 1980 and 1991. On the standing down of the ROC in 1991, Chris began researching historical aviation and has written several books on un-built projects, particularly guided weapons.

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Great background to England's way of coming up with both ...
By Stephen F Zink
Great background to England's way of coming up with both aircraft and the systems for doing anti-submarine and general maritime patrol work since WWII. And we thought the F-35 program was a bad, long drawn out process. The Brits were way ahead of us!

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Another fascinating delve into aviation history with Chris Gibson
By Overscan
Disclaimer: I received a review copy of this book.

Nimrod's Genesis is the latest volume in Chris Gibson's series of books for Crecy on RAF projects and weapons. Following on from Vulcan's Hammer (Bombers) and Battle Flight (Fighters), Chris has decided to tackle the less glamorous, less well known subject of maritime patrol.

The book is beautifully put together, the drawings, photos and artwork all first class and reproduced perfectly and the excessive typos of Battle Flight are banished. The text is well written and edited, impeccably researched and reads well. There are loads of projects depicted I was previously unaware of, and the coverage of the various designs for the successive requirements is very complete. Chris covers the weapons and sensors used in maritime patrol and a chapter explaining the submarine threat that the Soviet Navy posed. If you have any interest in the subject of maritime patrol aircraft, I am sure this book will be a delight. I liked the HS.1011/HS.1023 (impractical but cool), and the Maritime Patrol Vulcan was unexpected.

In summary then, a great reference on RAF Maritime Patrol requirements and development, well worth buying. Crecy continue to impress with their releases, and Chris Gibson does a very good job of making a coherent narrative from the source material, not just a "stamp collection" of projects.

Sticking the Maritime Patrol Vulcan on the cover was a great idea - pity there were no MPA TSR.2 projects :)

In conclusion - buy it, its very interesting and deserves to do well.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
A Sleeper
By F. Stop Fitzgerald
Nimrod's Genesis: RAF Maritime Patrol Projects and Weapons since 1945
by Chris Gibson
Hikoki Publications
$49.95

This book is a specimen of an aviation genre upon which the Brits seem to have a stranglehold: aircraft that never were. The books are enticing because their hallmarks—quality printing, excellent photographic reproduction, integrated design, and numerous line drawings—are focused on capturing the reader's and purchaser's attention. They do this very well. That they are printed in China is more a statement of the cost of similar endeavors in the West than it is of the derived quality in the East.

Unlike historical fiction for things that never were, this category of aviation literature has a very valid substrate: the furtherance of the aeronautical art. Aviation blind alleys can actually lead to hardware. Hence aircraft vaporware is worthy of study and reportage.

The issue with such books is how far to push the defining boundaries. Nimrod's Genesis may be just on the edge. Subtitled “RAF Maritime Patrol Projects and Weapons since 1945,” this is 222 pages of unbridled decadence for the minutiae loving aviation buff. Yes, it is an acquired taste, and on the surface may not appeal to yours. It certainly didn't mine. But author Chris Gibson knows how to reel you in.

The opening chapter isn't even about aircraft. It concisely sets the stage for subsequent chapters by painting a picture of the “enemy,” the Soviet/Russian Navy, and in particular its submarines. This he follows with a chapter on sensors, how they work, the tactics required for each, and weapons used to counter targets. All these are very well illustrated. Explanatory graphics are clear, concise, and informative. The subsequent chapters about the aircraft begin with the end of World War II and flying boat projects and continue through short- and medium-range maritime reconnaissance, long-range land planes, NATO and the so-called Trinity three-in-one project, and continue chronologically to today.

Gibson's writing is focused, there are no distracting side trips into unrelated matters. There is a flow to his work that is easy for the reader to follow and one often leaves a chapter with the thought that “I didn't know that,” or “That makes sense.”

My only criticism with this book—and it applies to the entire genre—is that they tease you with such interesting drawings and sketches and leave you wanting because they are too small to be of real value other than to illustrate a shape.

I would not have gambled on the subject. It is too far removed from my comfort zone. But I would have lost by not picking it up.

Nimrod's Genesis is available from Specialty Press at 1-800-895-4585 or www.specialtypress.com.

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Minggu, 01 Mei 2011

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Aerosol Technology: Properties, Behavior, and Measurement of Airborne Particles 2nd edition

  • Published on: 1600
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Jumat, 29 April 2011

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The Sleepeasy Solution: The Exhausted Parent's Guide to Getting Your Child to Sleep from Birth to Age 5, by Jennifer Waldburger, Jill Spiv

Two experts who are helping Hollywood's A-list babies get their zzz's share the no-fail, family-friendly method that has helped thousands of sleep-deprived moms and dads.

Even Hollywood's biggest stars face the same dilemma as other parents do: "How do I get my child to sleep?" As parents in the know are finding, whether they're on the red carpet or the soccer field, the answer is the same: The Sleepeasy Solution.

Psychotherapists and sleep specialists Jennifer and Jill, the dynamic "girlfriends" all of Hollywood calls on to solve Junior's sleep problems, have perfected their sleep technique that will get any child snoozing in no time―most often in fewer than three nights. The key to their method? It addresses the emotional needs of both the parent and child (yes, how to handle the crying!)―a critical component of why most other sleep methods fail.

In this much-needed, family-friendly guide, weary parents will learn to define their own individual sleep goals, those that work for their family's schedule and style. They'll create a customized "sleep planner" to ensure consistency with both parents as well as extended caregivers. (As an added bonus, they'll even improve the readers' relationships with their spouses with the "marriage-saver" section.) With comprehensive sections devoted to each stage of Baby's and Toddler's development, plus solutions to special circumstances like traveling, daylight saving's time, moving to a "big kid bed" and multiples, The Sleepeasy Solution is a dream come true!

"This approach was truly amazing in helping our family to thrive. . . . We are eternally grateful!"
―Ben Stiller and wife, Christine Taylor, actors

"With their gentle approach, Sleepeasy gave us the tools we needed to solve our daughter's sleep problems."
―Conan O'Brien, host of NBC's Late Night with Conan O'Brien

"Sleepeasy gave us all the tools we needed to get our baby sleeping through the night. Now when we say good night to our daughter, we know it really will be a good night."
―Greg Kinnear, actor

 

  • Sales Rank: #2996 in Books
  • Brand: HCI
  • Model: 1675373
  • Published on: 2007-04-01
  • Released on: 2007-04-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x .71" w x 6.00" l, .92 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 314 pages
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  • Great product!

Review
"This approach was truly amazing in helping our family to thrive. . . . We are eternally grateful!" ---Ben Stiller and wife, Christine Taylor

About the Author
Jennifer Waldburger, LCSW, is a trained psychotherapist and partner of Sleepy Planet, the preeminent parenting/sleep company in LA. She is a former writer and editor for Town & Country, Redbook, Good Housekeeping and Harper's Bazaar.

Jill Spivack, LMSW, is a psychotherapist who worked as a pediatric sleep consultant who co-founded Sleepy Planet, Inc., in 1999. The two offer private sleep consultations for celebrity clients and others, standing-room only workshops and regular keynotes at Baby Expos with audiences of over 300. They have appeared on the CBS Evening News with Dan Rather, Inside Edition (feature piece) as well as in The Wall Street Journal and Fit Pregnancy.

Excerpt. © Reprinted by permission. All rights reserved.
Excerpts from The Sleepeasy Solution

No-Cry Versus Crying It Out

Most parents wanting to make changes with their child's sleep have heard all the debates about allowing a child to cry. This has led to a lot of confusion. Some of the methods that promise "no-cry" solutions suggest to parents that their child wonÆt ever cry. The idea is that being ôgentler and more responsiveöùcontinuing to soothe your child by patting, picking her up, holding her hand, and the likeùmeans that she is less traumatized.

Ironically, though, parents often report that the child still cries even while they continue to attend to her; all children protest change, and the way they let us know they don't like the change is to cry. As important as it is for parents to express love to children through physical touch, and as illogical as it may seem that doing so while helping a child learn to sleep is counterproductive, it is indeed the parent's touch that can exacerbate a child's frustration in this scenario. The result? The child often continues to struggle with sleep, usually for weeks or even months, because she is not being allowed to learn how to soothe herself. With older children, using touch can be especially detrimental, as it tempts them to continue testing limits with you, to keep pressing until you cave in and help them to sleep. WeÆve found that when using these kinds of "hands-on" methods, parents often give up on sleep learning because it takes so long to actually get better sleep that the process itself becomes exhausting.

On the other end of the spectrum are the experts who suggest that the fastest way to help a child to sleep is to allow him to "cry it out" in other words, shutting the door and leaving your child completely alone, crying, for as long as it takes him to fall asleep. Also known as full extinction, this method actually does work, and sometimes quite quickly, although we have heard stories of children who have cried for as long as several hours at a stretch on the first night or two, perhaps bewildered and frightened because the usual helpers (namely, you) have disappeared. The idea of a child alone in the dark, crying inconsolably, doesnÆt sit right with most parents, and it doesn't sit right with us, either. It seems unnecessarily hard on both parents and child.

We think experts on both ends of the spectrum are well intentioned, but we also believe that the so-called no-cry solutions focus too much on the parent's and child's emotions and not enough on the necessary conditions for learning, and that the extinction methods focus too much on the child's learning and not enough on the emotional side of sleep learning. This is how we arrived at what we call the "least-cry" approach.

The "Least-Cry" Approach

So if giving your child too much help makes her cry harder and longer, and giving her too little help makes parents (and possibly the child) feel uneasy and overwhelmed, what's left? Finding a balance between allowing your child to learn how to sleep, while lovingly supporting her in the process. Our recipe for successful sleep learning --meaning that children learn to sleep quickly with a minimum of crying--contains two important ingredients:

1. A simple, customized sleep plan that includes step-by-step instructions for scheduling, environmental changes, and helping children change their sleep behavior, and

2. Plenty of support around the emotional aspects of teaching a child to sleep (and some inevitable frustration), to help children continue to feel loved, and to help parents remain consistent as their child learns. Parents who use our methods usually report that their child begins to sleep through the night in less than five nights, because the child receives clear, consistent responses that shape behavior quickly, and because she feels your loving encouragement while she learns. In a matter of days, children learn that they don't need assistance from their parentsùwith a bit of practice they become expert sleepers, and the whole family finally begins to get the rest they need.

Although there are other methods designed to offer parents a "middle-of-the-road" option, we haven't found any that help a child learn as quickly and minimize the crying as effectively as the techniques we use. We believe this is because we offer an equal balance of opportunities for behavioral learning and loving support that doesn't interfere with that learning. In this book, our aim is to give you exactly what a family would get if they were sitting in our office: our expertise, proper tools, and all the emotional support you need.

We'll help you create an organized, fail-proof plan that ensures success--usually in less than five nights. At Sleepy Planet, we've met thousands of parents who are in exactly the same exhausted, barely functioning boat that you're in right now. Happily, your child's (and thus you and your spouse's) sleepless nights will soon feel like a quickly fading bad dream. So hang in there; help has finally arrived! (That would be us, and we're not leaving your side till your child's sleep is much improved. Promise.)

There are seven main "sleep stealers" or reasons your child isn't sleeping well; she may be affected by one of them, by a combination of several, or if you've hit the jackpot, by all seven.

  • SLEEP STEALER #1: No Consistent Bedtime Routine Though most parents know that a bedtime routine is a good idea, it can be hard to be consistent about doing it, either because there's too much to do before bed or because your child has so much energy that it's hard to slow her down. Nonetheless, a predictable wind-down routine is one of the most important tools your child needs to sleep well.
  • There are several important components of a good bedtime routine:
  • Physical activity should come before the routine. If Daddy likes to toss the baby in the air, or your toddler likes to streak naked through the living room, go for it! Just make sure you do these activities before the bath or bedtime routine, when you'll want to start slowing things down.
  • The routine should last 15 to 60 minutes at nighttime, and about 10 to 15 minutes before a nap. The length of your routine will depend partly on the age of your child; a 5-month-old might gum a few pages of a board book, whereas an 18-month-old will enjoy at least one full story.
  • Do your bedtime routine in the same room where your child will be sleeping. It's important that your child spend some time in this space with you, feeling comfortable and relaxed, so the transition into sleep will go smoothly. If you give your child a bath and help him change into PJs in his room, and then return to another part of the house with him for more play or activity, you'll lose the momentum of the wind-down process and will likely find that your child gets a "second wind."
  • Do approximately the same activities each night or at nap time, in the same order.
  • This is what will help your child develop sleep cues, so that over time just doing the routine makes your child sleepy. Wind-down activities can include:

    A bath

    A massage

    Dimming the lights

    Playing soft music

    Diaper change and putting on pjÆs

    Nursing, a bottle, or a cup of milk

    A book or song (or several of each)

    Playing quietly on the floor (no toys that beep or blink)

    With an older child, talking about your day together

    You get the idea. Have fun and be creative; just remember to keep it low-key. Once you've established a consistent routine, anyoneùsitter, grandparents, other familyùshould be able to do exactly what you do to put your child to sleep and have exactly the same results. Mom and Dad are then freed up for a night on the town.

    Imagine that!

    ©2007. Jennifer Waldburger, LCSW, and Jill Spivak, LMSW. All rights reserved. Reprinted from The Sleepeasy Solution: The Exhausted Parent's Guide to Getting Your Child to Sleep from Birth to Age 5. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the written permission of the publisher. Publisher: Health Communications, Inc., 3201 SW 15th Street , Deerfield Beach , FL 33442.

  • Most helpful customer reviews

    5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
    This book has made our lives so much better!
    By shelly9226
    At first I thought no way was cry it out was for us. However, after spending 5 months with insomnia that I think was due in part to waking up every 2 hours to feed, I came around to the idea. I was pretty apprehensive because up to this point we were nursing to sleep. And of course every time she woke up, I nursed back to sleep as well. We were also co-sleeping. So I was like, this is gonna be too much change at once! No more co-sleeping, no nursing to sleep, night weaning--how is my baby going to handle this? But guess what? She's doing great! And I feel like a whole new person because I'm getting more than 2 hours of sleep at a time!! Just for reference, we started this when my baby was 5 months, 17 pounds. I still do a dream feeding around 10:30. Around 6 she has been waking up and we can tell its her hungry cry so I feed her, but then she has gone back to sleep for 2 hours sometimes. The only pitfall we made was that about after a week she was still crying for about 20 min to put herself to sleep. We realized bed time had just gotten away from us with getting dinner ready and all. But now we make sure to start our routine around 6:30 and bed time at 7:00. Last night, went to sleep no crying! She did wake a couple times, but put herself right back to sleep. Oh also, my husband had a week off from work when we started implementing this so it helped. Really if you're desperate for sleep, and feel like you can no longer function, give this a try. Just make sure you follow all the points in the book and give yourself and your baby ample time to see progress. I didn't ever think she would go to sleep on her own, and one week later it's a miracle!!

    13 of 14 people found the following review helpful.
    We made it work for us
    By Autumn923
    Our baby has been waking up every hour to two hours during the night once her 4-month regression hit. We couldn't swaddle her anymore as she was breaking out of it. We tried practically everything... the only way to get her back to sleep was for me to nurse her. It was so exhausting towards the morning I would have to ask my husband to take her out of the room just so I can get a solid hour of sleep in before having to go to work. None of us was getting any decent sleep.

    I bought the book based on all the reviews. At first when I read through the book, I got more upset because I didn't think it was for us. My husband and I both work, with my mom as a primary caretaker. There's no way we can put our baby to sleep by 8pm, nearly impossible at 7pm. There's no way we can stick to a consistent time schedule. Furthermore, having to "train" my mom to train our baby is another added stress.

    Since nothing was working anyway, we decided to adapt the book's way of putting her to bed at night. We started the first night at 4.5-month-old. She cried a solid one hour with the check-ins, then she slept for 5 hours. That was amazing because the longest stretch of sleep had only been 2.5 hours. The next few nights, we put her to bed the same way with the check-ins. While she would still wake up during the night, it was obvious she has already learn to put herself to sleep. She would fuss a bit for the first 5 to 10 minutes or so, but never any high-pitch crying like the first night. With obvious results, maybe there's something to this. I had a long talk with my mom about her naps schedule. Honestly, it was harder to ask my mom to follow the schedule and the technique. That same night our baby followed the recommended wake time and total nap time needed, she slept for 9 hours waking up 2x to nurse in between. We were so happy.

    Our baby is almost 6-month now. We usually start her bedtime routine from 8 to 9pm - bath, nurse, burp, turn on the fan, put her into the co-sleeper, and walk away. She has been consistently sleeping for 3 to 4 hours before waking up to nurse twice during the night. Our goal is definitely getting her to sleep the whole 11 to 12 hours like all the other reviewers said, but for now, we made the book work for us.

    Update on 6/17/2015 ~ Oh, I so wanted this book to work for us. We stick a pretty good nap schedule for month 5, and she was only waking up twice a night to nurse. Now she is a bit older than 6 months, it is obvious she doesn't need 3 naps, but my mom refuse to accept that. Unfortunately, it is harder to train my mom than it is to train my baby. If you can work with your caregiver, go for it. Otherwise, the sleep easy solution isn't that easy.

    Update on 2/4/2016 ~ Unfortunately I can't say my 14-month-old is sleeping through the night. I have read through countless books, online articles, blogs, etc. Ultimately I gave up on finding any solution. The one common ground for everything I have read is consistency of a schedule. That's one thing we are good about. She naps and eat around the same time. How we get her to nap, that's a different story (between my mom, my husband, my dad, and myself, we all have a different way of putting her to sleep...) But you know what, my daughter is getting better on her own. Like for night weaning, I was trying all these different methods (from this book and other books) without success. One night (maybe around 11 months old), she just stopped. She woke up fussy, but I was too tried to respond. She actually soothed herself back to sleep,and then she hasn't nursed since. She dropped two night feedings on her own. Also, for awhile when she woke up in the middle of the night, we would have to walk/rock her back and forth. Both my husband and I were too tired to response, she soothed herself back to sleep. It has been a long journey, but even though she wakes up twice a night, she put herself back to sleep. It may not be immediate, but she can. That's with us not doing anything. Maybe that's the key, don't try to force anything.

    3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
    My husband and I are happier because we are sleeping
    By Nicole C
    We were having a lot of trouble with our six month old. He would only sleep in our bed or on the couch with one of us, which was not safe and exhausting for my husband and I as well as the baby. In five days we weaned him off night feedings and he was Being put down in his crib awake and going to bed on his own without even crying. He's sleeping 11 1/2 hours through the night and waking twice out of habit but going back to sleep on his own after about five minutes of crying. Each night the time has gone down, so I would assume in a week there will be no night wakings. My husband and I are happier because we are sleeping, but more importantly our son is. He is happy and more alert throughout the day. It can seem a bit overwhelming at first but if you stick to the guide and schedule in the book it will truly be life changing. My only regret is that I didn't buy this book sooner.

    See all 688 customer reviews...

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    • Original language: French
    • Dimensions: 5.31" h x 3.74" w x 9.65" l,
    • Binding: Paperback

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    In this six-CD audio teaching, Bible scholar and teacher Derek Prince explains the victory that awaits every believer. Both God and Satan are preparing for the close of this age, and Christians are challenged to play a decisive and victorious role.

    Topics included are:

    • Five Ways Christ Undoes Satan's Work
    • God's Program for the Close of the Age
    • Satan's Program for the Close of the Age
    • Restraining and Casting Down Satan
    • Spiritual Weapons: The Blood, the Word, Our Testimony

    • Sales Rank: #886838 in Books
    • Brand: Miscellaneous/Whitaker
    • Published on: 2016-04-05
    • Formats: Audiobook, CD
    • Original language: English
    • Number of items: 1
    • Dimensions: 7.40" h x 1.10" w x 5.30" l, .60 pounds
    • Binding: Audio CD

    About the Author
    Internationally recognized as a Bible scholar and spiritual patriarch, Derek Prince (1915–2003) was educated as a scholar of classical languages at Eton College and Cambridge University in England, and later at Hebrew University in Israel. While serving with the British army in World War II, he began to study the Bible as a philosophical work and, as a result, experienced a life–changing encounter with Jesus Christ. Derek Prince taught and ministered on six continents for more than sixty years, imparting God's revealed truth, praying for the sick and afflicted, and sharing his prophetic insights into world events in the light of Scripture. He wrote over fifty books, which have been translated in over sixty languages and distributed worldwide. He pioneered teaching on such groundbreaking themes as generational curses, the biblical significance of Israel, and demonology. Derek Prince Ministries, with its international headquarters in Charlotte, North Carolina, carries on the good work that God began in and through him by distributing his teachings and by training missionaries, church leaders, and congregations through its worldwide network of offices.

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